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Where can the car take us this
century? It revolutionised transportation in the 20th century,
but not without consequences. Grid-locked towns and cities,
emissions contributing to global warming — the once
great symbol of personal freedom is ready for another great
turn of the wheel of invention.
Car manufacturers are keeping their eyes ahead for a transition
to cleaner and smarter vehicles and all the signs point
to a driving experience enhanced by automation and robotics.
“I really think the days
of people driving their own cars are numbered. In 30 years,
computers will be doing most of the driving,” says
Ian Pearson, member of CNN Future Summit Nominating Committee.
The CNN Future Summit is a two-year multimedia programme
aimed at stimulating global discussion on new developments
in medicine and health, communications, the environment
and new habitat, and the implications of these changes for
the future of mankind.
The safety of the driver, passengers
and other road users is paramount and this will have to
be tackled in a wholly different manner, especially on crowded
roads. Better in-car protection — from crumple zones
to stronger composite materials — will progress, but
the next generation of safety devices will be automated,
with vehicle-to-vehicle communication providing the possibility
of a crash-free future.
Already, Global Positioning System
(GPS) and onboard computers can track a vehicle’s
location and record information on speed and direction.
Transmitting that information between vehicles is the next
step that car manufactures are working on.
Linked to an automation of roadways,
Pearson says the benefits will be enormous. “We can
eliminate most traffic jams, which are usually caused by
bad driving. This way, we can increase the capacity of the
roads,” he says.
Another member of the CNN Nominating
Committee, Sebastian Thrun, is pioneering the development
of robotic cars. Director of the Stanford Artificial Intelligence
Laboratory, Thrun led the development of Stanley, a robotic
car that in 2005 won the DARPA Grand Challenge, a prize
competition for driverless cars, sponsored by the US government’s
defence department. Stanley was also named the No. 1 Robot
of All Time by Wired magazine in January 2006.
Thrun is currently working on
a robotic car that could drive one safely from San Francisco
to Los Angeles. But whether or not Thurn’s car will
be compatible with California’s stringent environmental
laws is another issue to face the next generation of vehicles.
The race is on to replace the internal combustion engine
and develop alternative fuel supplies.
Dr. Hermann Scheer, a member of
the German Parliament, and of the CNN Future Summit Nominating
Committee, is one of the world’s leading authorities
on the development and implementation of alternative, renewable
sources of power. He envisions that the car you drive in
the future may well be powered by bio-fuels, or electricity
generated by solar or wind power.
In 30 years, “we’ll
be using a combination of electricity, maybe from power
stations, nuclear, fusion, whatever,” says Pearson.
“We’ll also be starting to see an awful lot
of hydrogen-based cars.”
One man working toward developing
hydrogen-powered cars is Lino Guzzella. Imagine driving
from Paris to Moscow, and back again, on one litre of fuel.
While that won’t happen with any petroleum-based fuel,
it could be done with the PAC-Car II designed by a team
lead by Guzzella, a professor at the Swiss Federal Institute
of Technology in Zurich.
Powered by a fuel cell, it won
the Energy Globe Award in November 2005, driving 5,384 kilometres
on 0.27 kg of hydrogen, which in energy content is equivalent
to 1 litre of gasoline.
Looking further down the road,
rather than reinventing the wheel, getting rid of it altogether
may not remain just a fantasy with ongoing developments
in engines that create energy from electromagnetic radiation.
If we can develop cars that drive themselves, hover cars
may not be such a leap of the imagination.
Courtesy CNN Future Summit |